Chance of something happening.
Sources:
NIST SP 800-160v1r1
from
ISO Guide 73
NIST SP 800-161r1-upd1
[11/1/2024 errata update]
from
ISO/IEC 27000:2018
A weighted factor based on a subjective analysis of the probability that a given threat is capable of exploiting a given vulnerability or a set of vulnerabilities.
Sources:
NISTIR 7621 Rev. 1
under Likelihood
from
CNSSI 4009-2015 - “likelihood of occurrence”, NIST SP 800-30 Rev. 1
chance of something happening
Sources:
NISTIR 8053